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What moved today — the five biggest 24-hour repricings
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?24% ▼ 34
The market's wary: 24% — and collapsing, down 34. Numbers don't sulk.
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?48% ▲ 28
A genuine coin-flip — 48% — and climbing fast.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?27% ▲ 22
An outside shot at 27% — and climbing fast.
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?5% ▼ 19
Written off by most at 5%; conviction's evaporating. Not noise — money.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?12% ▼ 12
This is a long shot — 12% — cratering on the day. Numbers don't sulk.
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The board today
Probabilities are public prediction-market prices, read plainly. Volume is lifetime, in dollars.