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OddsXray · The Board Wednesday, July 29, 2026 · Live prices
The daily ledger of what the world actually believes — live odds from the prediction markets, read plainly.
The Board › Geopolitics
Geopolitics · Firming

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

The crowd's skeptical: 24%; sentiment's improving. Real money's behind it.

24%
Implied probability · Unlikely
▲ 3
24h move
$49.1M
Volume traded
2026-12-31
Resolves

What it resolves on

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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